1 、 Isesengura ryerekana isoko rya benzene nziza

Vuba aha, isoko ryiza rya benzene rimaze kwiyongera inshuro ebyiri zikurikirana mu minsi y'icyumweru, hamwe n’amasosiyete akora peteroli mu Bushinwa bwo mu Burasirazuba akomeje guhindura ibiciro, hamwe no kwiyongera kwa 350 / toni kugeza kuri 8850. Nubwo muri Gashyantare 2024 hiyongereyeho ibarura ry’ibicuruzwa ku byambu by’Ubushinwa bigera kuri toni 54000, igiciro cya benzene cyera gikomeje gukomera. Ni izihe mbaraga zitera ibi?

Ubwa mbere, twabonye ko ibicuruzwa byo hepfo ya benzene isukuye, usibye caprolactam na aniline, byagize igihombo kinini. Ariko, kubera gukurikiranwa gahoro gahoro ibiciro bya benzene, inyungu yibicuruzwa byo hasi mukarere ka Shandong ni byiza. Ibi birerekana itandukaniro ryamasoko ningamba zo gusubiza mu turere dutandukanye.

Icya kabiri, imikorere ya benzene isukuye kumasoko yo hanze ikomeza gukomera, hamwe no guhagarara gukomeye hamwe nihindagurika rito mugihe cyibiruhuko. Igiciro cya FOB muri Koreya yepfo gikomeje kuba $ 1039 kuri toni, kikaba kiri hejuru ya Yuan / toni 150 hejuru yikiguzi cyimbere mu gihugu. Igiciro cya BZN nacyo cyagumye kurwego rwo hejuru, kirenga $ 350 kuri toni. Byongeye kandi, isoko ryo kohereza peteroli muri Amerika ya Ruguru ryaje kare ugereranije no mu myaka yashize, bitewe ahanini n’ubwikorezi buke bw’ibikoresho muri Panama no kugabanuka kw’umusaruro watewe n’ubukonje bukabije mu ntangiriro.

Nubwo hari igitutu ku nyungu zuzuye n’imikorere ya benzene yuzuye hepfo, kandi hakabura ikibazo cyo gutanga benzene nziza, ibitekerezo bibi ku nyungu zo hasi ntago byateje ikibazo kinini cyo guhagarika. Ibi byerekana ko isoko rigishakisha uburinganire, na benzene yuzuye, nkibikoresho byingenzi bya shimi, ibicuruzwa byayo biracyakomeza.

ishusho

2 Kureba uko isoko rya toluene rigenda

Ku ya 19 Gashyantare 2024, hamwe n’ibiruhuko by’ibiruhuko byarangiye, isoko rya toluene ryari rifite umwuka mubi. Ibicuruzwa byatanzwe ku isoko mu Burasirazuba no mu majyepfo y’Ubushinwa byombi byiyongereye, aho izamuka ry’ibiciro ryageze kuri 3.68% na 6.14%. Iyi myumvire iterwa no guhuriza hamwe ibiciro bya peteroli mugihe cyibiruhuko, bifasha neza isoko rya toluene. Muri icyo gihe, abitabiriye isoko bafite intego ikomeye yo gutereta kuri toluene, kandi abafite bahindura ibiciro byabo.

Nyamara, kumanuka wo kugura amarangamutima ya toluene ni ntege, kandi isoko ryibicuruzwa bihenze biragoye gucuruza. Byongeye kandi, ishami rishinzwe kuvugurura uruganda runaka muri Dalian rizakomeza kubungabungwa mu mpera za Werurwe, ibyo bigatuma igabanuka ry’igurishwa ry’imbere rya toluene ndetse n’igabanuka rikabije ry’isoko. Imibare yaturutse muri Baichuan Yingfu ivuga ko umusaruro ngarukamwaka w’inganda za toluene mu Bushinwa ari toni miliyoni 21.6972, aho ibikorwa bya 72.49%. Nubwo umutwaro rusange wa toluene kurubuga uhagaze neza kurubu, hariho ubuyobozi bwiza butangwa kuruhande.

Ku isoko mpuzamahanga, igiciro cya FOB cya toluene cyahindutse mu turere dutandukanye, ariko icyerekezo rusange gikomeje gukomera.

3 、 Gusesengura uko isoko rya xylene ryifashe

Kimwe na toluene, isoko rya xylene naryo ryagaragaje umwuka mwiza ubwo yagarukaga ku isoko nyuma y’ibiruhuko ku ya 19 Gashyantare 2024.Ibiciro rusange by’amasoko yo mu burasirazuba no mu Bushinwa bw’Amajyepfo byombi byiyongereye, aho igiciro cyo hejuru cyazamutseho 2,74% na 1.35%. Iyi myumvire izamuka kandi igira ingaruka ku izamuka ry’ibiciro bya peteroli mpuzamahanga, hamwe n’inganda zimwe na zimwe zaho zazamuye amagambo yatanzwe hanze. Abafite imyifatire myiza, hamwe nibiciro rusange byisoko ryazamutse. Nyamara, epfo yo gutegereza-no-kubona amarangamutima arakomeye, kandi ibikorwa byo gukurikira bikurikirana witonze.

Twabibutsa ko kuvugurura no gufata neza uruganda rwa Dalian mu mpera za Werurwe bizongera icyifuzo cyo kugura amasoko yo hanze ya xylene kugirango huzuzwe icyuho cyatanzwe no kubungabunga. Dukurikije imibare ituzuye yaturutse muri Baichuan Yingfu, ubushobozi bwo gukora neza mu nganda za xylene mu Bushinwa ni toni miliyoni 43.4462, aho bukora 72.19%. Kubungabunga uruganda rutunganya uruganda i Luoyang na Jiangsu biteganijwe ko ruzakomeza kugabanya isoko, rutanga inkunga ku isoko rya xylene.

Ku isoko mpuzamahanga, igiciro cya FOB cya xylene nacyo cyerekana uburyo buvanze bwo kuzamuka no kumanuka.

4 Development Iterambere rishya ku isoko rya styrene

Isoko rya styrene ryagize impinduka zidasanzwe kuva kugaruka kwIserukiramuco. Bitewe n’igitutu cy’ubwiyongere bukabije bw’ibarura no gutinda gukenewe kw'isoko, ibiciro byatanzwe ku isoko byagaragaje ko byazamutse cyane nyuma y’ibiciro by’ibiciro ndetse n’idolari ry’Amerika. Nk’uko imibare yo ku ya 19 Gashyantare ibigaragaza, igiciro cyo hejuru cya styrene mu karere k’Uburasirazuba bw’Ubushinwa cyazamutse kigera kuri toni zirenga 9400, kikaba cyiyongereyeho 2,69% kuva ku munsi w’akazi uheruka mbere y’ibiruhuko.

Mu gihe cy'Iserukiramuco, amavuta ya peteroli, amadolari y'Abanyamerika, n'ibiciro byose byagaragaje icyerekezo gikomeye, bituma hiyongeraho umubare wa toni zirenga 200000 z'ibarura rya styrene ku byambu by'Ubushinwa. Nyuma y'ikiruhuko, igiciro cya styrene gitandukanijwe n'ingaruka zo gutanga no gukenerwa, ahubwo cyageze ku rwego rwo hejuru hamwe n'izamuka ry'ibiciro. Nyamara, kuri ubu styrene ninganda zayo zo hasi cyane ziri mubihe byigihe kirekire bitera igihombo, hamwe ninyungu zidahujwe zingana na -650 yuan / toni. Kubera imbogamizi zinyungu, inganda zateganyaga kugabanya akazi kabo mbere yikiruhuko ntizatangiye kongera urwego rwimikorere. Kuruhande rwo hepfo, kubaka inganda zimwe zikiruhuko biragenda byiyongera buhoro buhoro, kandi isoko rusange iracyafite intege nke.

Nubwo kuzamuka kwinshi kumasoko ya styrene, ingaruka mbi zituruka kumurongo zishobora kugaragara buhoro buhoro. Urebye ko inganda zimwe ziteganya gutangira mu mpera za Gashyantare, niba ibikoresho byo guhagarara bishobora gutangira ku gihe, igitutu cyo gutanga isoko kiziyongera. Muri kiriya gihe, isoko rya styrene rizibanda cyane cyane kuri devocking, rishobora kurwego runaka gukurura logique yibiciro byiyongera.

Mubyongeyeho, duhereye ku bukemurampaka hagati ya benzene yuzuye na styrene, itandukaniro ryibiciro biri hagati yibi ni hafi 500 yuan / toni, kandi iri tandukaniro ryibiciro ryaragabanutse kugera kurwego rwo hasi. Bitewe ninyungu nke munganda za styrene hamwe ninkunga ihoraho yibiciro, niba isoko ryifashe buhoro buhoro