Vuba aha, ibintu bitoroshye by’amakimbirane ya Isiraheli na Palesitine byatumye intambara yiyongera, ibyo bikaba byaragize ingaruka ku ihindagurika ry’ibiciro bya peteroli mpuzamahanga, bikomeza ku rwego rwo hejuru.Ni muri urwo rwego, isoko ry’imiti yo mu gihugu naryo ryibasiwe n’ibiciro by’ingufu zo hejuru ndetse n’ibikenerwa hasi, kandi muri rusange imikorere y’isoko ikomeza kuba intege nke.Nyamara, amakuru ya macro yo muri Nzeri yerekanaga ko uko isoko ryifashe neza ku buryo bugaragara, ibyo bikaba byaratandukiriye imikorere idahwitse y’isoko ry’imiti.Bitewe n’imivurungano ya geopolitike, peteroli mpuzamahanga ikomeje guhindagurika cyane, kandi ukurikije ikiguzi, hari inkunga munsi yisoko ryimiti;Nyamara, ukurikije ibintu by'ibanze, icyifuzo cya zahabu, ifeza, nibindi bicuruzwa ntikiraturika, kandi ni ukuri ntawahakana ko bazakomeza gucika intege.Kubwibyo, biteganijwe ko isoko ryimiti izakomeza inzira yo kumanuka mugihe cya vuba.

Isoko ryimiti rikomeje kuba ubunebwe

Icyumweru gishize, ibiciro byimiti yimbere mu gihugu byakomeje gukora nabi.Dukurikije ibicuruzwa 132 by’imiti byakurikiranwe na Jinlianchuang, ibiciro by’imbere mu gihugu ni ibi bikurikira:

 Inkomoko yamakuru: Jin Lianchuang

Iterambere ry’imibare ya macro muri Nzeri ritandukana no kugabanuka vuba aha mu nganda z’imiti

Ikigo cy’igihugu gishinzwe ibarurishamibare cyasohoye amakuru y’ubukungu mu gihembwe cya gatatu na Nzeri.Amakuru yerekana ko isoko ryibicuruzwa byabaguzi bikomeje kwiyongera, ibikorwa by’inganda bikomeza kuba byiza, kandi amakuru ajyanye n’imitungo itimukanwa nayo yerekana ibimenyetso by’iterambere.Nubwo, nubwo hari byinshi byateye imbere, urugero rwiterambere ruracyari ruto, cyane cyane igabanuka rikomeye ryishoramari ryimitungo itimukanwa, bigatuma imitungo itimukanwa ikomeza gukurura ubukungu bwimbere mu gihugu.

Duhereye ku mibare y’igihembwe cya gatatu, GDP yiyongereyeho 4.9% umwaka ushize, iruta ibyo byari byitezwe ku isoko.Iri terambere riterwa ahanini no kwiyongera gukomeye kwingufu zo gukoresha.Nyamara, umuvuduko wimyaka ine wiyongera (4.7%) mugihembwe cya gatatu uracyari munsi ya 4.9% mugihembwe cyambere.Byongeye kandi, nubwo deflator ya GDP yateye imbere gato kuva kuri -1.5% mugihembwe cya kabiri ikagera kuri -1.4% umwaka-ku-mwaka, ikomeza kuba mibi.Aya makuru yose yerekana ko ubukungu bugikeneye gusanwa.

Iterambere ry’ubukungu muri Nzeri ryatewe ahanini n’ibikenewe hanze n’ibikoreshwa, ariko ishoramari ryakomeje kugira ingaruka mbi ku mutungo utimukanwa.Umusaruro urangiye muri Nzeri wongeye kugaruka ugereranije na Kanama, hamwe n’inganda zongerewe agaciro n’inganda zerekana serivisi ziyongereyeho 4.5% na 6.9% buri mwaka ku mwaka, ibyo bikaba ahanini bisa na Kanama.Nyamara, umuvuduko wimyaka ine wiyongereye wiyongereyeho 0.3 na 0.4 ku ijana ugereranije na Kanama.Duhereye ku mpinduka zikenewe muri Nzeri, kuzamuka kwubukungu guterwa ahanini n’ibikenewe hanze n’ibikoreshwa.Iterambere ry’imyaka ine y’iterambere ry’imibereho ya zeru n’ibyoherezwa mu mahanga ryarushijeho gutera imbere ugereranije na Kanama.Nyamara, igabanuka ryikigereranyo cyubwiyongere bwikigereranyo cyumutungo utimukanwa uracyatewe ahanini ningaruka mbi zumutungo utimukanwa.

Uhereye kubice byingenzi byo hepfo yubuhanga bwa chimique:

Mu rwego rw’imitungo itimukanwa, kugabanuka kwumwaka-mwaka kugurisha amazu mashya muri Nzeri byateye imbere gato.Kugirango dutezimbere iterambere rya politiki kumpande zombi zitangwa nibisabwa, hakenewe izindi mbaraga.Nubwo ishoramari ryimitungo itagifite intege nke, ubwubatsi bushya bwerekana intambwe igenda itera imbere, mugihe kurangiza bikomeje gukomeza gutera imbere.

Mu nganda z’imodoka, gucuruza “Jinjiu” bikomeza inzira yo kuzamuka kwiza ukwezi ukwezi.Kubera ubwiyongere bukenewe mu ngendo z’ibiruhuko ndetse n’ibikorwa byo kuzamura mu mpera z’igihembwe, nubwo kugurisha ibicuruzwa byageze ku rwego rwo hejuru muri Kanama, kugurisha amamodoka atwara abagenzi muri Nzeri byakomeje kugenda byiyongera ku kwezi ukwezi, kugera Miliyoni 2.018.Ibi byerekana ko icyifuzo cya terminal gikomeje guhagarara neza no gutera imbere.

Mu rwego rw'ibikoresho byo mu rugo, ibikenerwa mu gihugu bikomeza kuba byiza.Dukurikije imibare yaturutse mu biro bishinzwe ibarurishamibare, igurishwa ry’ibicuruzwa by’umuguzi muri Nzeri byari miliyari 3982.6, byiyongereyeho 5.5% umwaka ushize.Muri byo, igurishwa rusange ry’ibikoresho byo mu rugo n’ibikoresho bifata amajwi n'amashusho byari miliyari 67.3, byaragabanutse ku mwaka ku mwaka byagabanutseho 2,3%.Nyamara, ibicuruzwa byose byagurishijwe kuva muri Mutarama kugeza muri Nzeri byari miliyari 34210.7, byiyongereyeho umwaka ushize 6.8%.Muri byo, igurishwa rusange ry'ibikoresho byo mu rugo n'ibikoresho bifata amajwi n'amashusho byari miliyari 634.5 z'amafaranga y'u Rwanda, umwaka ushize wagabanutseho 0,6%.

Twabibutsa ko iterambere ryibanze muri macro data yo muri Nzeri ritandukana nuburyo bugenda bugabanuka mu nganda z’imiti.Nubwo imibare igenda itera imbere, icyizere cy’inganda mu gihembwe cya kane kiracyari gihagije, kandi ikinyuranyo cya politiki mu Kwakira nacyo gituma inganda zifata imyifatire idahwitse yo gushyigikira politiki mu gihembwe cya kane.

Hano hari inkunga hepfo, kandi isoko ryimiti ikomeje gusubira inyuma kubushake buke

Intambara ya Palesitine na Isiraheli yateje intambara eshanu nto mu burasirazuba bwo hagati, bikaba biteganijwe ko bigoye kubona igisubizo mu gihe gito.Kubera iyo mpamvu, ibintu byifashe nabi mu burasirazuba bwo hagati byatumye habaho ihindagurika rikomeye ku isoko mpuzamahanga rya peteroli.Urebye ibiciro, isoko yimiti rero yabonye inkunga yo hasi.Nyamara, ukurikije ibintu by'ibanze, nubwo muri iki gihe ari igihe cyiza cyo hejuru cya zahabu, ifeza, hamwe n’ibisabwa icumi, icyifuzo nticyigeze giturika nkuko byari byitezwe, ariko cyakomeje kuba intege nke, ibyo bikaba ari ukuri guhakana.Kubwibyo, biteganijwe ko isoko ryimiti rishobora gukomeza kugabanuka kumanuka mugihe cya vuba.Nyamara, imikorere yisoko ryibicuruzwa byihariye irashobora gutandukana, cyane cyane ibicuruzwa bifitanye isano rya bugufi na peteroli irashobora gukomeza kugira inzira ikomeye.