Mu 2022, igiciro mpuzamahanga cya peteroli cyazamutse cyane, igiciro cya gaze gasanzwe mu Burayi no muri Amerika cyazamutse cyane, amakimbirane hagati y’itangwa ry’amakara n’ibisabwa yariyongereye, kandi ikibazo cy’ingufu cyiyongera.Hamwe n’ibikorwa byubuzima bwimbere mu gihugu, isoko ryimiti ryinjiye mubibazo byikubye kabiri kubitangwa nibisabwa.

Kwinjira 2023, amahirwe nibibazo birabana, uhereye kubyutsa ibyifuzo byimbere mu gihugu binyuze muri politiki zitandukanye kugeza gufungura byimazeyo
Ku rutonde rw’ibiciro by’ibicuruzwa mu gice cya mbere Mutarama 2023, hari ibicuruzwa 43 mu rwego rw’imiti byazamutse ukwezi ku kwezi, harimo ibicuruzwa 5 byazamutse hejuru ya 10%, bingana na 4,6% byakurikiranwe ibicuruzwa mu nganda;Ibicuruzwa bitatu bya mbere byari MIBK (18.7%), propane (17.1%), 1,4-butanediol (11.8%).Hano hari ibicuruzwa 45 byagabanutse ukwezi ku kwezi, naho ibicuruzwa 6 byagabanutse kurenga 10%, bingana na 5.6% by’umubare ukurikiranwa muri uru rwego;Ibicuruzwa bitatu bya mbere byagabanutse ni polysilicon (- 32.4%), igitara cyamakara (ubushyuhe bwo hejuru) (- 16.7%) na acetone (- 13.2%).Ikigereranyo cyo kuzamuka no kugwa cyari - 0.1%.
Ongera urutonde (ongera hejuru ya 5%)
Gukura kurutonde rwibikoresho fatizo byimiti
Igiciro cya MIBK cyiyongereyeho 18.7%
Nyuma yumwaka mushya, isoko rya MIBK ryagize ingaruka kubiteganijwe neza.Ikigereranyo cy’igihugu cyazamutse kiva kuri 14766 yu / toni ku ya 2 Mutarama kigera kuri 17533 / toni ku ya 13 Mutarama.
1. Biteganijwe ko itangwa rizaba rito, toni 50000 / umwaka wibikoresho binini bizahagarikwa, kandi igipimo cy’imbere mu gihugu kizagabanuka kiva kuri 80% kigere kuri 40%.Isoko ryigihe gito riteganijwe gukomera, bikaba bigoye guhinduka.
2. Nyuma yumwaka mushya, inganda nyamukuru zirwanya antioxydeant inganda, ninganda zo hasi nazo zuzura nyuma yigihe gito cyatumijwe.Mugihe ibiruhuko byegereje, icyifuzo cyo hasi cyibicuruzwa bito kiragabanuka, kandi kurwanya ibikoresho fatizo bihendutse biragaragara.Hamwe no gutanga ibicuruzwa byatumijwe mu mahanga, igiciro cyagiye buhoro buhoro kandi kuzamuka kwadindije.

 

Igiciro cya propane cyiyongereyeho 17.1%
Mu 2023, isoko rya propane ryatangiye neza, kandi igiciro cyo hagati yisoko rya Shandong propane cyazamutse kiva kuri 5082 yuan / toni kumunsi wa 2 kigera kuri 5920 yu / toni kumunsi wa 14, hamwe nikigereranyo cya 6000 yuan / toni kumunsi wa 11.
1. Mugihe cyambere, igiciro kumasoko yo mumajyaruguru cyari gito, icyifuzo cyo hasi cyari gihagaze neza, kandi uruganda rwarangiritse neza.Nyuma yiminsi mikuru, kumanuka watangiye kuzuza ibicuruzwa mubyiciro, mugihe ibarura ryo hejuru ryari rito.Muri icyo gihe, ingano iheruka kugera ku cyambu ni mike, isoko ryaragabanutse, kandi igiciro cya propane gitangira kuzamuka cyane.
2. PDH zimwe zasubukuye akazi kandi icyifuzo cyinganda zikora imiti cyiyongereye cyane.Hamwe n'inkunga ikenewe gusa, ibiciro bya propane biroroshye kuzamuka kandi bigoye kugabanuka.Nyuma yibiruhuko, igiciro cya propane cyazamutse, cyerekana ibintu bikomeye mumajyaruguru nintege nke mumajyepfo.Mubyiciro byambere, ubukemurampaka bwohereza ibicuruzwa biva mu mahanga ku isoko ryo mu majyaruguru byagabanije neza ibarura.Kubera igiciro kiri hejuru, ibicuruzwa ku isoko ryamajyepfo ntabwo byoroshye, kandi ibiciro byakosowe umwe umwe.Mugihe ibiruhuko byegereje, inganda zimwe zinjira muburyo bwibiruhuko, kandi abakozi bimukira buhoro buhoro basubira murugo.
1.4-Igiciro cya Butanediol cyiyongereyeho 11.8%
Nyuma y’ibirori, igiciro cyamunara yinganda cyazamutse cyane, kandi igiciro cya 1.4-butanediol cyavuye kuri 9780 yu / toni kumunsi wa 2 kigera kuri 10930 / toni kumunsi wa 13.
1. Inganda zikora ntizishaka kugurisha isoko ryaho.Muri icyo gihe, cyamunara yibicuruzwa hamwe n’amasoko menshi y’inganda zikomeye ziteza imbere isoko kuzamuka.Usibye guhagarika parikingi no gufata neza icyiciro cya mbere cya Tokiyo Biotech, umutwaro w’inganda wagabanutseho gato, kandi inganda zikora inganda zikomeje gutanga ibicuruzwa.Urwego rwo gutanga BDO biragaragara ko ari rwiza.
2. Hamwe no kongera umutwaro wibikoresho bya BASF muri Shanghai, icyifuzo cyinganda za PTMEG cyiyongereye, mugihe izindi nganda zo hepfo zidafite impinduka nke, kandi nibisabwa ni byiza gato.Ariko, mugihe ibiruhuko byegereje, bimwe byo hagati no hepfo byinjira byinjira mubiruhuko mbere, kandi ubucuruzi rusange bwisoko ni buke.
Kureka urutonde (munsi ya 5%)
Urutonde rwo kugabanuka kwibikoresho fatizo byimiti
Acetone yagabanutseho - 13.2%
Isoko rya acetone yo mu gihugu ryagabanutse cyane, kandi igiciro cy’inganda zo mu Bushinwa bw’iburasirazuba cyamanutse kiva kuri 550 yu / toni kigera kuri 4820.
1. Igipimo cyo gukora acetone cyari hafi 85%, kandi ibarura ryicyambu ryazamutse rigera kuri toni 32000 kumunsi wa 9, rizamuka vuba, kandi igitutu cyiyongera.Kumuvuduko wibarura ryuruganda, nyirubwite afite ishyaka ryinshi ryo kohereza.Hamwe n’umusaruro mwiza w’uruganda rwa Shenghong n’uruganda rwa Phenol Ketone, biteganijwe ko umuvuduko w’ibicuruzwa uziyongera.
2. Amasoko yo hasi ya acetone aratinda.Nubwo isoko rya MIBK ryamanutse ryazamutse cyane, icyifuzo nticyari gihagije kugirango igipimo cyibikorwa kigere ku ntera yo hasi.Uruhare rwabunzi ruri hasi.Yagabanutse cyane mugihe ibikorwa byamasoko byirengagijwe.Kugabanuka kw'isoko, umuvuduko wigihombo cyibikorwa bya fenolike ya ketone biriyongera.Inganda nyinshi zitegereza ko isoko risobanuka mbere yo kugura nyuma yikiruhuko.Kubera igitutu cyinyungu, raporo yisoko yaretse kugabanuka no kuzamuka.Isoko ryagiye rigaragara buhoro buhoro nyuma yikiruhuko.
Isesengura rya nyuma
Urebye kuri peteroli ya ruguru yo hejuru, inkubi y'umuyaga iheruka kwibasira Amerika, kandi biteganijwe ko peteroli ya peteroli izagira ingaruka nke, kandi inkunga y'ibiciro ku bicuruzwa bikomoka kuri peteroli izacika intege.Mu gihe kirekire, isoko rya peteroli ntabwo rihura n’umuvuduko wa macro gusa n’ubukungu bw’ubukungu bwifashe nabi, ahubwo rihura n’umukino uhuza ibicuruzwa n’ibisabwa.Ku ruhande rutanga, hari impungenge ko umusaruro w’Uburusiya uzagabanuka.OEPC + kugabanya umusaruro bizashyigikira hepfo.Ku bijyanye n’ibisabwa, ishyigikiwe no kubuza macro-cycle, kubuza ibicuruzwa bidakenewe mu Burayi no kuzamuka muri Aziya.Biterwa na macro na micro birebire kandi bigufi, isoko rya peteroli birashoboka cyane ko ridahinduka.
Ukurikije abaguzi, politiki yubukungu bwimbere mu gihugu yubahiriza neza uruzinduko runini rwimbere mu gihugu kandi ikora akazi keza kurwego mpuzamahanga ndetse n’imbere mu gihugu.Mu gihe cy’icyorezo nyuma y’icyorezo, cyarekuwe mu buryo bwuzuye, ariko ukuri byanze bikunze ni uko urwego rwari rugifite intege nke kandi gutegereza-kureba byakajije umurego nyuma yububabare.Kubijyanye na terefone, politiki yo kugenzura imbere mu gihugu yarahinduwe neza, kandi ibikoresho n'ibikoresho by’umuguzi byagaruwe.Ariko, igihe gito cyigihe gito gikenera ibihe bitarenze ibihe byimpeshyi, kandi birashobora kugorana kugira impinduka zikomeye mugihe cyo gukira.
Mu 2023, ubukungu bw’Ubushinwa buzagenda buhoro buhoro, ariko mu gihe ubukungu bwifashe nabi ku isi ndetse n’uko biteganijwe ko ubukungu bwifashe nabi mu Burayi no muri Amerika, isoko ry’Ubushinwa ryohereza mu mahanga ibicuruzwa byinshi bizakomeza guhura n’ibibazo.Muri 2023, ubushobozi bwo gukora imiti buzakomeza kwiyongera.Mu mwaka ushize, umusaruro w’imiti w’imbere mu gihugu wiyongereye gahoro gahoro, aho 80% by’ibicuruzwa nyamukuru by’imiti byerekana ko byiyongera kandi 5% gusa by’ibicuruzwa byagabanutse.Mu bihe biri imbere, biterwa no gushyigikira ibikoresho n’inyungu, ubushobozi bwo gukora imiti buzakomeza kwaguka, kandi amarushanwa ku isoko arashobora kurushaho kwiyongera.Ibigo bigoye gushiraho inyungu zinganda zinganda mugihe kizaza bizahura ninyungu cyangwa igitutu, ariko kandi bizakuraho ubushobozi bwumusaruro wasubiye inyuma.Muri 2023, inganda nini nini nini nini zizibanda ku kuzamuka kwinganda zo hasi.Hamwe niterambere rikomeje mu ikoranabuhanga ryimbere mu gihugu, kurengera ibidukikije, ibikoresho bishya byo mu rwego rwo hejuru, electrolytite n’urunigi rw’inganda zikoresha umuyaga bigenda bihabwa agaciro n’inganda nini.Munsi yinyuma ya karubone ebyiri, imishinga isubira inyuma izavaho kumuvuduko wihuse.


Igihe cyo kohereza: Mutarama-16-2023